Dynamic Portfolio Review: July 2024

Fri 05 Jul 2024

By Brian Dennehy

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Dynamic Portfolios

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As ever, if you have any questions about the below research please do not hesitate to contact us.

The new funds for each Dynamic Portfolio will be listed below, or alternatively you can view the new funds on the designated Portfolio Library page.

Performance Graphs will be over their review period unless stated otherwise.

The Dynamic Portfolio’s below are sorted A-Z.

 

Commentary

There are 6 Dynamic Portfolios to update this month.

Over the past 6 months, the US and Japan emerged as the clear winners since January with the major indices up around 20%. Big tech and AI continued to dominate, while a weak yen and corporate reforms have been a tailwind in Japan, particularly for the big exporters.

Here are todays portfolios for update:

  • Bonkers 3-Month Portfolio
  • Bonkers 6-Month Portfolio
  • Dynamic Asia (Including ITs) Porfolio
  • Dynamic Cautious Portfolio
  • Dynamic Commodities Portfolio
  • Dynamic UK All Companies Portfolio

Starting with the Bonkers 3-Month Portfolio, it’s slightly down over the period at -0.87% versus up 2.53% for the FTSE World Index.  Switching now from a US fund to an India fund after a fantastic month in June following the election.

The long-term figures for this Dynamic Portfolio are excellent, returning 4,935% versus 583% for the index. Nearly 8.5x that of the FTSE World.

Bonkers 6-Month Portfolio has had a poor but not disastrous 6 months in European Property Equities, down 2.01%, but the Index is up 12.5%. The portfolio sticks with Fund Managers Janus Henderson for the next 6 months but over to US Tech as it continued to soar over the past 6 months.

Since inception, this Bonkers Portfolio is up 14,604% versus 1,248% for the FTSE World. Pretty extraordinary.

Moving to Asia with the Dynamic Asia including ITs Portfolio, it managed a slight gain on the Index as it is up 9.08% over the 6 months versus 8.67% for the MSCI Asia Pacific.

No surprise to see Asia up over the past 6 months as there’s been plenty of positives swirling, partly due to the widespread corporate governance reforms. As risks continue to grow in the West it’s hard to ignore this exciting area. The switch is out of smaller companies and into a more large-cap Growth style fund with Baillie Gifford Pacific.

This is one of our house favourite portfolios and the growth since inception is phenomenal, up 2,930% versus 206% for the index.

Dynamic Cautious is up 3.97% over the past 6 months compared to 2.14% for the index. However, we’ve been saying for a number of years for low-risk investors to take care when selecting funds in what is typically known as low-risk sectors. Whilst some of the yields in the corporate or property bond funds might be compelling, be wary of the exposure under the bonnet.

The two Man GLG funds remain for the next 6 months, and a notable addition is FF China High Yield. Long term performance of this portfolio is 1.7x better than the Index.

Commodities had a relatively flat month with Dynamic Commodities (a 3-month Portfolio) down slightly at -0.7% versus the Index up 1.77%.

Energy is out and gold is in with all 3 of the new fund selections for the next 3 months.

Since inception it’s up 22x the Index, even better than Bonkers!

Finally turning to the UK, it's good to see continued strong performance with Dynamic UK All Companies up 9.62% versus the FTSE 100 up 7.88%. This Dynamic Portfolio is the basis of our original research from 1994 and is up 2,598% over the period versus the FTSE 100 up 712%.

Only one of the 3 funds remain for the next 6 months as JOHCM UK Growth and Artemis UK Select make it into the portfolio.

Bonkers 3-Month Portfolio

3-Month Review

Bonkers 3-Month Portfolio: down 0.87%

FTSE World Index: up 2.53%

 

3-Month Performance Chart

Bonkers 3m

Performance Table

Name

3m

6m

1yr

3yr

5yr

Since Inception
(Oct 99)

Bonkers 3-Month Portfolio

-0.87

-0.40

-11.14

-37.87

-11.76

4935.17

FTSE World Index

2.53

12.42

21.73

33.86

77.23

583.36

 

Risk Table

Name

Worst Month

5 Year Volatility *

5-Year Monthly VaR**

Bonkers 3-Month Portfolio

-25.97

25.19

-12.03

FTSE World Index

-12.52

13.18

-5.30

 

Review Table

Old fund

New fund

GQG Partners U.S. Equity

Stewart Investors Indian Subcontinent Sustainability

 

Bonkers 6-Month Portfolio – Jan-Jul

6-Month Performance

Bonkers 6-Months Portfolio: down 2.01%

FTSE World Index: up 12.50%

 

6-Month Performance Chart

Bonkers 6m

Performance Table

Name

6m

1yr

3yr

5yr

Since Inception
(Jan 95)

Bonkers 6-Month Portfolio - Jan-Jul

-2.01

13.08

29.39

84.75

14604.41

FTSE World Index

12.50

21.73

33.86

77.23

1248.39

 

Risk

Name

Worst Month

5 Year Volatility *

5-Year Monthly VaR**

Bonkers 6-Month Portfolio - Jan-Jul

-29.20

25.41

-11.04

FTSE World Index

-16.00

13.18

-5.30

 

Review

Old fund

New fund

Janus Henderson Horizon Pan European Property Equities

Janus Henderson Global Technology Leaders

 

 

Dynamic Asia (including ITs)

6-Month Performance

 

Dynamic Asia (including ITs) Portfolio: up 9.08%

MSCI Asia Pacific Index: up 8.67%

 

6-Month Performance Chart

Dynamic Asia inc ITs

Performance Table

Name

6m

1yr

3yr

5yr

Since Inception
(Jan 00)

Dynamic Asia (including ITs)

9.08

10.22

17.90

146.20

2930.19

MSCI Asia Pacific Index

8.67

12.66

1.81

27.48

205.53

 

Risk

Name

Worst Month

5 Year Volatility *

5-Year Monthly VaR**

Dynamic Asia (including ITs)

-16.30

18.22

-7.45

MSCI Asia Pacific Index

-12.41

12.29

-6.98

 

Review

Old fund

New fund

Abrdn SICAV I – Asian Smaller Companies

Baillie Gifford Pacific                                  

 

Dynamic Cautious Portfolio

6-Month Performance

Dynamic Cautious Portfolio: up 3.97%

(UT) Mixed Investment 0-35% Shares Sector Average: up 2.14%

 

6-Month Performance Chart

Cautious

Performance Table

Name

6m

1yr

3yr

5yr

Since Inception
(Jan 00)

Dynamic Cautious Portfolio

3.97

8.61

-11.80

-8.19

219.63

(UT) Mixed Investment 0-35% Shares Sector Average

2.14

7.60

-2.36

5.58

124.48

 

Risk

Name

Worst Month

5 Year Volatility *

5-Year Monthly VaR**

Dynamic Cautious Portfolio

-9.56

8.44

-3.53

(UT) Mixed Investment 0-35% Shares
Sector Average

-7.09

6.47

-1.77

 

Review

Old funds

New funds

Man GLG Sterling Corporate Bond

Man GLG Sterling Corporate Bond           

Man GLG Dynamic Income

Man GLG Dynamic Income

AB Financial Credit Portfolio

FF China High Yield

Royal London Sustainable Managed Growth Trust

VT Brompton Cautious

VT Redlands Property Portfolio

Scottish Widows HIFML UK Property

Dynamic Commodities Portfolio

3-Month Performance

 

Dynamic Commodities Portfolio: down 0.70%

Bloomberg Commodities Index: up 1.77%

 

3-Month Performance Chart

Commodities

Performance Table

Name

3m

6m

1yr

3yr

5yr

Since Inception
(Jan 09)

Dynamic Commodities Portfolio

-0.70

4.16

-3.56

19.77

114.47

343.60

Bloomberg Commodities Index

1.77

5.26

6.01

31.66

42.87

15.30

 

Risk

Name

Worst Month

5 Year Volatility *

5-Year Monthly VaR**

Dynamic Commodities Portfolio

-14.59

22.16

-8.22

Bloomberg Commodities Index

-10.88

14.56

-6.38

 

Review

Old funds

New funds

PIMCO GIS MLP & Energy Infrastructure

Jupiter Gold And Silver

BlackRock BGF World Energy

WS Ruffer Gold

WS Guiness Global Energy

BlackRock Gold & General

Dynamic UK All Companies Portfolio

6-Month Performance

 

Dynamic UK All Companies Portfolio: up 9.62%

FTSE 100 Index up 7.88%

 

6-Month Performance Chart

UK all

Performance Table

Name

6m

1yr

3yr

5yr

Since Inception
(Jul 94)

Dynamic UK All Companies Portfolio

9.62

18.47

22.79

42.61

2597.66

FTSE 100 Index

7.88

13.27

29.55

32.44

712.12

 

Risk

Name

Worst Month

5 Year Volatility *

5-Year Monthly VaR**

Dynamic UK All Companies Portfolio

-24.72

17.99

-5.77

FTSE 100 Index

-13.41

13.64

-6.13

 

Review

Old funds

New funds

Ninety One UK Special Situation

JOHCM UK Growth

Aegon Ethical Equity

Ninety One UK Special Situations

Man GLG Undervalued Assets

Artemis UK Select

Performance data as of 30/06/2024

 

*A measure of the size and frequency of short-term changes in the value of an investment.

**Monthly Value at Risk (VaR). A VaR of 6% means that in 19 months out of 20 you should not, on average, expect a fall in the capital value of more than 6% in any one month. The VaR of a typical UK stock market fund is 6%, for reference.

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Dynamic Portfolios

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