Dynamic Portfolio Review: February 2024

Fri 02 Feb 2024

By Brian Dennehy

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Dynamic Portfolios

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In our monthly Dynamic Portfolio review we provide some background commentary and insights, as well as performance tables and graphs, risk tables, and where to go to find the new funds for each Dynamic Portfolio.

The new funds for each Dynamic Portfolio are listed below.  Alternatively you can view the new funds on the designated Portfolio Library page – importantly, by following this link, you will also see how each portfolio is built.

Performance graphs below are over a one-year period unless stated otherwise.

The Dynamic Portfolio’s below are sorted A-Z.

Commentary

Three interesting updates for this month.

Looking back over 3-6 months, in October markets appeared to be on the brink and everyone was holding their breath.  Then from the end of October the tide turned, along with improved numbers on inflation, creating the possibility of interest rates falling faster than expected.  Then in mid December the US Federal Reserve fuelled the enthusiasm of the more manic investors (talk of even earlier rate cuts) and the big tech funds, Magnificent Seven, took off and upward.

Here are todays portfolios for update:

  • Dynamic Japan Portfolio
  • Dynamic UK Blended
  • Dynamic World ex-UK

A positive period for Japan.  Remember the review period is 3 months for Dynamic Japan, an exception to our norm.  It was a decent return of 4.5%, but the big cap dominated Nikkei index flew upwards with New Year buying by global institutions.

It remains a superb Dynamic portfolio, focused on an area which is cheap, and which has outperformed the index by a multiple of 4.8 since inception.

The switch is to a Japan Value fund for the next 3 months.

Dynamic UK Blended is up 3.49%, outperforming the FTSE 100 index.  Since inception in 2000 it has grown 4.7x the index. 

Two of the new selections have a mid-cap focus, which is more about confidence in the UK economy than the large cap constituents of the FTSE 100, which are mostly global.

The Dynamic World ex-UK portfolio was best, up 7.49%.  It just outperformed the World Index, which was impressive bearing in mind the index will have been driven by big tech, which would have had a limited exposure in our portfolio.  Since inception it has performed a little over twice as well as the index.

Not surprisingly two of the three new selections are US-focussed.

This is an interesting portfolio, and we recommend checking out the way it is structured here.

Dynamic Japan 3-Month Portfolio

3-Month Review

Dynamic Japan 3-Month Portfolio: up 4.50%

Nikkei 225 Index: up 14.69%

 

Annual Performance Chart

dynamic 3m Japan

Performance Table

Name

3m

6m

1yr

3yr

5yr

Since Inception
(Feb 00)

Dynamic Japan 3-Month Portfolio

4.50

-2.24

3.82

2.08

48.32

348.87

Nikkei 225 Index

14.69

6.13

12.83

0.09

32.72

72.78

 

Risk Table

Name

Worst Month

5 Year Volatility *

5-Year Monthly VaR**

Dynamic Japan 3- Month Portfolio

-17.55

17.54

-8.67

Nikkei 225 Index

-14.49

14.22

-8.73

 

Review Table

Old fund

New fund

WS Morant Wright Nippon Yield

Nomura Japan Strategic Value

Dynamic UK Blended Portfolio

6-Month Performance

Dynamic UK Blended Portfolio: up 3.49%

FTSE 100: up 0.85%

 

Annual Performance Chart

Dynamic UK Blended

 

Performance Table

Name

6m

1yr

3yr

5yr

Since Inception
(Feb 00)

Dynamic UK Blended Portfolio

3.49

6.36

28.09

41.88

876.26

FTSE 100

0.85

2.12

33.20

32.33

186.08

 

Risk Table

Name

Worst Month

5 Year Volatility *

5-Year Monthly VaR**

Dynamic UK Blended Portfolio

-21.83

18.59

-7.18

FTSE 100

-13.41

13.71

-7.74

 

Review Table

Old funds

New funds

Baille Gifford UK Equity Alpha

Ninety One UK Special Situations

CT UK Growth and Income

Aviva Inv UK Listed Small and Mid-Cap

Ninety One UK Special Situations

Fidelity Sustainable UK Equity

 

Dynamic World ex-UK Portfolio

6-Month Performance

Dynamic World ex-UK Portfolio: up 7.49%

FTSE World ex-UK Index: up 6.55%

 

Annual Performance Chart

Dynamic World ex UK

Performance Table

Name

6m

1yr

3yr

5yr

Since Inception
(Feb 00)

Dynamic World ex-UK Portfolio

7.49

9.20

17.57

88.73

955.25

FTSE World ex-UK Index

6.55

13.48

35.93

80.54

459.59

 

Risk Table

Name

Worst Month

5 Year Volatility *

5-Year Monthly VaR**

Dynamic World ex-UK Portfolio

-14.81

13.72

-6.20

FTSE World ex-UK Index

-12.60

13.30

-5.74

 

Review Table

Old funds

New funds

GS Japan Equity Partners Portfolio

New Capital US Growth

Natixis Loomis Sayles U.S. Equity Leaders

New Capital US Small Cap Growth

BlackRock Continental European

Nomura Japan Strategic Value

*A measure of the size and frequency of short-term changes in the value of an investment.

**Monthly Value at Risk (VaR). A VaR of 6% means that in 19 months out of 20 you should not, on average, expect a fall in the capital value of more than 6% in any one month. The VaR of a typical UK stock market fund is 6%, for reference.

Performance data as of 31/01/2024

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Dynamic Portfolios

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